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Buffett Warns of an "Economic Pearl Harbor"

The negative feedback loop

By Steve Christ
Monday, January 19th, 2009

 

pearl harbor

 

Here' the latest warning on the economy from the Oracle of Omaha himself. It has gotten so bad according to Buffett that he has associated it with Pearl Harbor.  

From Bloomberg by Frank Connelly entitled: Buffett Says U.S. Is in Midst of an "Economic Pearl Harbor"

"The U.S. is facing an "economic Pearl Harbor" that has spread fear throughout the country, billionaire investor Warren Buffett told Tom Brokaw in an interview broadcast yesterday on Dateline NBC.

"We have a negative feedback cycle going on right now," Buffett said, according to a transcript of the interview on CNBC's Web site. "We have fear which leads to people not wanting to spend, and not wanting to make investments. And that leads to more fear."

Buffett, the chairman of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., said Barack Obama is "the absolute right commander in chief" to guide the country through the financial crisis. Obama, 47, will be sworn in as the 44th U.S. president tomorrow in Washington.

He can "convey to the American people what needs to be done, not to expect miracles, that it's going to take time," Buffett, 78, said in the interview.

Buffett declined to predict how long the economy will remain under duress, except to say that he doesn't expect a recovery to take five years. He contrasted the current economic crisis with the period "three or four years ago," when "everybody lent you more and more on a house that kept going up, and you could keep spending money you didn't have."

Buffett said the economic slump is the worst since World War II, though not as severe as the Great Depression. He said "it's never paid to bet against America," and that the country would come through the crisis. "But it's not always a smooth ride."

So much for the negative feedback back loop Warren is so worried about. 




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Comments:

Comment by Steve on 2009-01-24
Buffet is a great investor but not a first or second generation business owner. Obama may keep O'Buffets investments affloat for the short term but the death of free markets and the birth of socialism will not be good for your children or mine. What a selfish act by O'Buffet.
Comment by Glenn on 2009-01-24
He is probably the most qualified and one who has the most to lose or gain.. If he states that a bet agianst the US is not a good one, as well as the US economy has not been this bad sinc WW II, I feel his words should be heeded.. His staements had nothing to do with socialism....