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Foreclosures Were Bad Last Year?

It's Going to Get Worse

By Ian Cooper
Tuesday, May 26th, 2009

It's not just subprime and Alt-A that we have to worry about any more. It's prime, too.

And Morris A. Davis, a real estate expert at the University of Wisconsin may have just hit the nail on the head with his comment, "Foreclosures were bad last year? It's going to get worse."

Yep, just as we've been warning about - the next phase of the real estate disaster is upon us. It's only shifted from subprime to Alt-A to prime. And with many economists predicting that unemployment will rise into the double digits from 8.9%, foreclosures will only accelerate, says the NY Times, which will add to bank losses, which will add pressures to the financial system and broader economy.

 

Prime Borrower Chart

 

Here's more from the article.

"We're right in the middle of this third wave, and it's intensifying," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Economy.com, according to the article. "That loss of jobs and loss of overtime hours and being forced from a full-time to part-time job is resulting in defaults. They're coast to coast."

From November to February, the number of prime mortgages that were delinquent at least 90 days, were in foreclosure or had deteriorated to the point that the lender took possession of the home increased more than 473,000, exceeding 1.5 million, according to a New York Times analysis of data provided by First American CoreLogic, a real estate research group. Those loans totaled more than $224 billion.

During the same period, subprime mortgages in those three categories increased by fewer than 14,000, reaching 1.65 million. The number of similarly troubled Alt-A loans - those given to people with slightly tainted credit - rose 159,000, to 836,000.

Over all, more than four million loans worth $717 billion were in the three distressed categories in February, a jump of more than 60 percent in dollar terms compared with a year earlier."





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Comments:

Comment by donald wong on 2009-05-27
Bush was just stupid and did not understand what he was doing with regards to easy money. Obama is now seeing how the government has nearly destroyed GM with infusion of capital. He should have allowed bankruptcy to do its cleansing work. Obama will soon taste the effects of printing money as interest rates soar and inflation becomes manifested. But being intelligent this could be his strategy in leveling the playing field of redistribution and of paying off the debt. Regardless, I am buying Gold and if need be, ship it out of the country since I no longer trust America because of its tolerance for evil and not even recognizing evil for what it is.