Talk About "Dynamic" Profits...

Jason Simpkins

Posted May 4, 2026

A few months ago, General Dynamics (NYSE: GD) was the defense stock everybody was worried about.

The Army was openly threatening to cancel one of the company’s biggest munitions contracts.

The 155mm artillery shell plant it had built in Mesquite, Texas, hadn’t produced a single shell.

And the share price was sliding — down more than 6% on the year while the rest of the defense sector was running.

Then, in the span of three weeks, the entire narrative flipped.

On April 3, the Army quietly lifted its eight-month work stoppage on the Mesquite plant.

On April 27, it awarded GD a fresh $591 million contract to actually start producing shells there.

And on April 29, GD blew the doors off its first-quarter earnings.

Now the stock is back on the march — proving once again that when you see a defense major down on its luck, it’s a smart move to buy the dip.

Blowout Earnings

Let’s start with that blockbuster earnings report.

GD reported Q1 2026 revenue of $13.5 billion — up 10.3% year over year and a full $750 million ahead of Wall Street’s $12.7 billion estimate.

Diluted earnings per share came in at $4.10, up 12% from a year ago and well above the $3.69 consensus.

Operating earnings hit $1.4 billion. Net earnings rose 13.2%, to $1.13 billion. And free cash flow swung from negative $290 million a year ago to a positive $1.95 billion.

Every single one of GD’s four segments — Aerospace, Marine Systems, Combat Systems, and Technologies — grew revenue and operating earnings.

However, Marine Systems was the standout.

The segment posted a 21% increase in revenue, which totaled $4.34 billion. And operating earnings jumped 26.4%, driven by Virginia-class and Columbia-class submarine work at Electric Boat.

This tracks with a major defense trend I’ve been reporting on for months — the Golden Fleet, which is President Trump’s sprawling effort to overhaul America’s shipbuilding industry and expand its naval supremacy.

And it added a nice boost to GD’s Aerospace business, which also performed admirably.

Specifically, Gulfstream delivered 38 private jets in the quarter (up from 36 last year) and orders nearly doubled — from $2.36 billion a year ago to $3.84 billion.

Then there’s the order book.

GD pulled in $26.6 billion in new orders during the quarter — almost twice what it billed in revenue. That’s a book-to-bill ratio of 2x, which is exceptional.

Finally, the company’s total backlog topped out at $130.8 billion, a 47.5% increase from a year ago. 

These numbers gave GD cause to raise its full-year EPS guidance from $16.10–$16.20 to $16.45–$16.55.

Now, for the Mesquite story — because this is the part the market was really worried about.

Mesquite Oh No

The Mesquite plant opened in May 2024 with a contractual mandate to produce 30,000 155mm artillery shells per month across three production lines.

But by the time the Army issued its show-cause letter last summer, the plant had produced exactly zero.

GD missed deadline after deadline forcing the Army to openly consider terminating its contract.

But 155mm shells are arguably the single most strategically important conventional munition in modern warfare. And U.S. stockpiles have been badly depleted by wars in Israel, Ukraine and Iran. 

To that point, the U.S. military is burning through 155mm shells at a pace it hasn’t seen in decades. And the Pentagon’s overall munitions outlay got a 188% boost in President Trump’s $1.5 FY27 budget request.

So while the Pentagon may be fuming over the production delay, it needs the Mesquite factory to come through.

Not to mention the fact that canceling a domestic shell production line in the middle of an active war would have been catastrophic — not just for GD, but for U.S. military readiness.

So the Army did what the Army usually does in these situations. It renegotiated.

The work stoppage was lifted on April 3. A $591 million contract followed on April 27. And the Army is now publicly working with GD to resolve the situation.

The Mesquite plant still has to actually produce shells, of course. That part isn’t done. But the existential threat to the program is over, and GD now has the political cover and the capital to fix what’s broken.

That’s a massive overhang lifted off the stock.

The Bottom Line

Looking forward, GD is sitting on top of just about every major defense priority in the FY27 budget.

Submarines?

Electric Boat just secured a $15 billion Navy contract for additional Virginia-class production extending through 2035.

Combat vehicles?

Demand for Stryker vehicles and Abrams tanks is rising both at home and abroad.

Munitions?

Mesquite is back in business, and the broader 155mm ramp-up is still a national priority.

And on top of all of that, President Trump’s Golden Dome missile defense initiative — now officially “real and no longer theoretical” according to the four-star general running it — is going to require a vast network of supporting hardware, satellites, command-and-control systems, and integrated weapons platforms.

GD’s Technologies segment, with its expertise in mission systems, secure communications, and IT infrastructure, is positioned to grab a meaningful slice of that work.

And the Pentagon’s Golden Dome budget alone has now ballooned to roughly $40 billion in committed funding, with the full program estimated at $185 billion and a 20-year life-cycle cost that some analysts put as high as $3.6 trillion.

The bottom line…

GD is a great stock to own as a core defense holding.

It’s diversified, it’s well-managed, it pays a growing dividend (recently raised to $1.59 per quarter), and it’s tied into virtually every priority in the largest defense buildout in American history.

But if you’re looking for the kind of returns that turn small positions into life-changing money, the legacy primes aren’t where you’ll find them.

That’s why I put together my latest report on the single best Golden Dome stock for your portfolio — a small, under-the-radar contractor with AI-powered edge computing and signal intelligence capabilities that make it indispensable to the entire system.

It’s already up triple digits since I first recommended it, and there’s still plenty of room to run as Golden Dome contracts start rolling out in earnest.

You can get all the details right here.

You don’t just have to take my word for it, either.

GD just proved what I’ve been saying for two years now…

The defense bull market isn’t slowing down — it’s accelerating.

And the investors who position themselves correctly — across both the legacy primes and the small-cap upstarts driving the next wave — are going to do very, very well for themselves.

Fight on,

Jason Simpkins Signature

Jason Simpkins

Simpkins is the founder and editor of Secret Stock Files, an investment service that focuses on companies with assets — tangible resources and products that can hold and appreciate in value. He covers mining companies, energy companies, defense contractors, dividend payers, commodities, staples, legacies and more… He also serves as editor of The Crow’s Nest where he analyzes investments beyond the scope of the defense sector.

For more on Jason, check out his editor’s page.

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