Gold’s Biomarkers Are Still Flashing Green

Brian Hicks

Posted March 11, 2026

Why the Short-Term Pullback in Gold Is Ending — and the MoneyQuake Bull Market Is About to Resume

When the United States launched its first strikes against Iran on February 28, the global markets reacted instantly.

Oil prices surged. Stocks whipsawed. Currencies lurched violently.

And gold — the ultimate crisis hedge — did something that confused many investors.

It fell.

For a few days following the initial strike and Iran’s retaliation, gold prices pulled back sharply from their highs as traders rushed to raise liquidity across the financial system. Some investors sold gold to cover losses elsewhere. Others simply locked in profits after gold’s massive run earlier this year.

Even gold-backed ETFs — one of the clearest indicators of institutional gold demand — briefly saw outflows during the initial wave of market volatility.


(Source: goldkimp.com)

At first glance, this seemed contradictory. After all, geopolitical crises are supposed to send gold soaring, not falling.

But seasoned gold investors understand this pattern well.

In fact, it happens almost every time markets experience a sudden shock. During the earliest stage of a crisis, investors often sell whatever they can — including gold — simply to raise cash. It’s not a reflection of gold’s long-term outlook.

It’s a liquidity event.

A temporary flush.

And history shows that once that forced selling subsides, gold typically resumes its upward trajectory — often with even greater momentum than before.

Which brings us to what may be the most important development investors should be watching right now.

Because while gold prices briefly pulled back, the biomarkers of the gold bull market remain incredibly strong.

And those biomarkers tell us the MoneyQuake is very much alive.

The Financial System’s Blood Test

When doctors want to evaluate the health of the human body, they don’t rely on guesswork.

They run tests.

Blood panels. Hormone levels. Inflammation markers.

These biomarkers reveal what is happening beneath the surface long before symptoms appear.

The global financial system works exactly the same way.

Markets have their own biomarkers — indicators that reveal the underlying stress within the system.

Bond yields reveal pressure in the debt markets. Currency volatility signals shifts in confidence between nations. Commodity prices reflect the physical demand of the global economy.

But when it comes to diagnosing the health of the monetary system itself, there may be no better biomarker than capital flowing into gold.

And more specifically…

Investment capital flowing into gold ETFs.

These funds hold physical gold in vaults and allow investors to gain exposure to bullion through the stock market. They are used by pension funds, hedge funds, sovereign wealth funds, and institutional investors managing trillions of dollars.

Which means ETF flows provide a remarkably clear window into how the world’s largest pools of capital are positioning themselves.

And right now those flows are telling us something important.

According to the latest research from the World Gold Council, global physically backed gold ETFs attracted $5.3 billion in net inflows during February alone, marking the ninth consecutive month of positive inflows and the strongest start to a year on record.

Global ETF holdings increased by 26 tonnes, bringing total holdings to more than 4,170 tonnes of gold, while total assets under management climbed to a record $701 billion.

In other words…

The biomarkers are flashing green.

Why Gold ETF Flows Matter

Some investors dismiss gold ETFs as “paper gold.” But that completely misses their importance.

Gold ETFs are the primary gateway for institutional capital entering the gold market.

I’m talking about pension funds, insurance companies, asset managers and sovereign wealth funds.

These institutions control hundreds of trillions of dollars in capital. Even a tiny shift in their portfolio allocations toward gold can create massive flows into the metal.

To understand how powerful this dynamic can be, consider that gold still represents an extremely small percentage of global financial portfolios.

Many institutional investors currently hold less than half of one percent of their portfolios in gold.

If those allocations rise even modestly — say from 0.5% to 2% — the amount of capital flowing into gold could be staggering.

And that’s exactly why ETF flows serve as such an important biomarker.

They show us when the big money is beginning to move.

The MoneyQuake Is the Diagnosis

For years now I’ve warned readers about what I call the MoneyQuake.

A seismic shift in the global financial system driven by forces that governments can no longer control.

Those forces include exploding sovereign debt, persistent inflationary pressures, geopolitical fragmentation, and a gradual erosion of trust in fiat currencies.

These trends have been building for years.

But in recent months they have begun converging in ways that are impossible to ignore.

Global debt has surpassed $300 trillion.

Government deficits are expanding at historic rates.

Central banks are trapped between fighting inflation and preventing economic slowdown.

And geopolitical tensions — particularly in energy-producing regions like the Middle East — continue to intensify.

These forces create uncertainty. And uncertainty pushes investors toward tangible assets.

Energy. Commodities. Precious metals.

But above all…

Gold.

Institutional Investors Are Waking Up

Gold bull markets rarely begin with retail investors. They begin with institutions. And in this current bull market, the institutions were central banks. And then it trickled down.

The big money moves first.

When pension funds, hedge funds, and sovereign wealth funds begin increasing their exposure to gold, the early stages of a bull market take shape.

Retail investors usually arrive much later — often after the biggest gains have already occurred.

The recent surge in gold ETF inflows suggests that institutional investors are beginning to recognize the macroeconomic shifts underway.

They are slowly increasing their allocations. Hedging against systemic risk. Positioning themselves for the possibility that the global monetary system could experience a period of significant instability.

And the ETF flows provide a real-time window into that shift.

A Bull Market Built on Structural Forces

One of the most important things investors must understand about gold is that its biggest bull markets are never driven by speculation alone.

They are driven by macroeconomic pressure. Inflation. Debt. Currency instability.

All three forces are present today. And they are intensifying.

Central banks around the world continue accumulating gold at the fastest pace in modern history.

Governments are increasingly relying on deficit spending. And geopolitical tensions are creating disruptions in global trade and energy markets.

These conditions create the perfect environment for gold. Because gold is not simply a commodity.

It is a monetary asset.

A store of value that cannot be printed by governments or diluted by central banks. And when investors begin to question the long-term stability of fiat currencies, gold becomes incredibly attractive.

The Early Stages of a Monetary Shift

Perhaps the most important takeaway from the ETF data is that the current gold bull market is still in its early stages.

Despite gold’s impressive rise in recent years, institutional allocations remain extremely low compared with historical norms.

In fact, if global investment portfolios returned to gold allocations similar to those seen during previous periods of monetary stress, trillions of dollars could eventually flow into the metal.

That kind of capital migration would send gold prices dramatically higher. Which is why the recent ETF inflows matter so much.

They may represent the first wave of a much larger shift.

The Vital Signs of the MoneyQuake

So what should investors take away from the recent pullback in gold following the Iran conflict?

Quite simply this:

The short-term sell-off was a liquidity event, not a change in the underlying trend.

The structural forces driving gold higher remain firmly in place.

And the biomarkers — particularly ETF inflows — continue to signal strong demand from institutional investors.

Gold’s vital signs are healthy.

The MoneyQuake is still building.

And if history is any guide, the next phase of this bull market could be far more dramatic than anything we’ve seen so far.

Because when the world’s largest pools of capital finally decide they need meaningful exposure to gold…

The price of gold won’t simply rise.

It will surge.

And the investors who recognized the biomarkers early will be the ones best positioned to benefit from the financial earthquake that is now unfolding.

Get to the good, green grass first…


The Prophet of Profit,

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Brian Hicks

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Brian is a founding member and President of Angel Publishing. He writes about general investment strategies for Wealth Daily and Energy and Capital. Brian is the managing editor and investment director of R.I.C.H Report  (Retired Independent Carefree Healthy), New World Assets and Extreme Opportunities. For more on Brian, take a look at his editor’s page.

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