The Mongolia Mining Boom

Energy, Precious Metals, and Mining Take Off

By
Wednesday, November 18th, 2009

I wasn't sure what to expect when my plane landed at the Genghis Khan International Airport.

It was midnight. The pilot informed us of the local temperature: a bitter cold -5 degrees. The airport resembled an old Soviet-style bunker and reminded me of similar buildings in ex-Communist countries like Bulgaria.

I overpaid for the first taxi; the driver pestered me and I settled on a price that was more than I should have paid, but he drove the 15-minute trip from the airport.

The air was heavy with pollution that came from the gur (yurt) village.

People still live in traditional nomadic structures and they burn wood and cow pies and the like. On this night, everyone had a fire going.

The roads were full of potholes. Most lights were off. The buildings I saw as I drove into Ulaanbaatar (or UB, as everyone here calls it), were of the former Soviet-style apartments. More of these ugly grey buildings have been built in the world than any other — that I'm sure of.

My hotel, in comparison, is a top-notch four-star establishment. For $170 a night, I get a place to lay my head, including daily breakfast with eggs to order and thick black coffee.

I hadn't yet heard from my contact from the National Investment Bank of Mongolia, and so I have to be honest. . . I spent some time biting my nails during my flight to Asia. I was worried that I had annoyed Mr. Bayarsaikhan Banzragch, the CEO of the only investment bank in Mongolia. . .

But it turns out he was in Japan on business and had just returned.

Bayar, as he is known, and his lawyer Mrs. Orgilmaa Siizkhuu took me under their wing and gave me access to the Head of the Stock Exchange, the Vice Governor at the Bank of Mongolia (their central bank), and a regional head at the Mineral, Resources and Petroleum Authority of Mongolia.

I also interviewed the man who is building a world class city called Luminu City with a budget of $500 million. It will be a green city (it is always sunny in Mongolia), with solar panels, a 45-foot office tower, shops, and condos. He told me he is "building a second Dubai in the heart of Asia. . . "

And I almost believed him. I'll tell you more about those meetings later. . .

First, I want to point out an article I wrote recently about the commodities boom in Mongolia — gaining momentum then, as I wrote the article, and today, as I type these words from my hotel room — and the significance of the political takeover by the Moderate Social Democratic Party last year.

The contextual significance of Mongolia's political state and the commodities boom is important in understanding just what is on the horizon in regards to the vast fortunes that can be made by this opportunity, as I explained in my last piece:

Untouched for 19 years, the world's last great energy, metal, and mineral boom is about to launch in Mongolia. In fact it's already happening. A new tax law has recently changed the business climate, and the likes of Goldman Sachs, China Wealth Fund, Rio Tinto, and many other big players are rushing through the gates. . .

For the better part of a century, Mongolia has been known for its wealth of minerals: gold, coal, rare earth metals. Heck, the Russians had the whole place mapped out in the 1960s.

But under Russia, very little extraction ever took place. In the early 1990s, Mongolia finally broke free from its status as a Soviet puppet state and the country reacted like many former Russian states: It whipsawed from corrupt renegade capitalism back to its former communist party rulers and a collective mentality.

But neither of these systems was conducive to the massive capital inflows necessary to fund long-term gold, copper, and coal mines.

And as a result, during the commodity boom era of the 2000s, Mongolia was taken over by the anti-capitalists and strict laws were made placing punitive taxes on foreign companies after Mongolia's mineral wealth.

Then last year, the Moderate Social Democratic Party took power. This new group had a pragmatic approach to economics and political ideology. One of the first things those in power did was to cut the corporate tax from 68% to 30%. I bought one small gold miner in anticipation of this new law. . .

It is now up more than 458%.

To give you some perspective, the square footage of this mining property is bigger than the state of Ohio. And the $6 billion investment — coupled with the expansion of the economy — will easily double Mongolia's $9 billion GDP.

But it wasn't long after the plane touched down that I realized there were some things I didn't know when I wrote my article about mining in Mongolia: Mongolia isn't some warmed-over former Soviet state. These people were hard-working, smart, and aware of the fact that their future is very promising.

If I can generalize a population, they remind me of the people I've met from the Western High Plains states, like Colorado and Wyoming. They are a proud, horse-and-mountain people with a long history. After all, one of their ancestors once ruled the world.

They are Buddhists who care very much about the environment and their place among generations. When I mention the amount of gold and uranium their country has, they gratefully attribute from whence they came with the response, "Thank the ancestors."

The feeling I get on the ground is one of controlled optimism.

Mongolia's people are going to meet the future peacefully, with every intention not to mess with the balance of their present-day lives.

I'll keep you informed on my adventures and on-the-scenes discoveries in the weeks to come.

More later,

Christian DeHaemer

Wealth Daily


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Comments:

Comment by Patrick Rawlings on 2009-11-18
Christian:

Excellant overview of what is happening there. What is your objective by visiting Mongolia? And how can investors profit with investments linked to the opportunities you see? What are the risks, also? Thanks.
Comment by Jennifer Dent on 2009-11-18
I read an article that the second tallest man in the world lives in Mongolia and along comes a dolphin who was in respiratory distress. This man sticks his arm down the dophin's throat, removes several plastic bags caught down there, and the dophin survives. Amazing, eh?
Comment by John Sloan on 2009-11-18
Super article - very attuned to local interests - looking forward to more
Comment by blabla on 2009-11-19
Hi, interesting what will happen later but terms like "former Soviet-style apartments and former soviet state" is actually so boring, you see it in almost every article.

its always interesting to see "western"'s thinking and reactions.

Will check your next article.

Thanks and good continuation.

BK
Comment by blabla on 2009-11-19
Hi, interesting what will happen later but terms like "former Soviet-style apartments and former soviet state" is actually so boring, you see it in almost every article.

its always interesting to see "western"'s thinking and reactions.

Will check your next article.

Thanks and good continuation.

BK
Comment by luvsan on 2009-11-20
this is a very well written observation. if you are still in town, give me a buzz, would be great to meet. luvsanchultem.vanjildorj@gmail.com
Comment by bagi on 2009-11-20
i love me UB... and welcome agian. when you come here agian please contact me i will show you our secret ...
Comment by Artur Belgrave on 2009-11-20
Christian, are you going to be covering specific companies in this market. I have been tracking a couple of Mongolian companies, it would be interesting to see if we have similar thoughts.

Regards.
Comment by Lindsey V. Maness, Jr, Geologist on 2009-11-21
I visited Mongolia during the transition from Soviet rule to local control and have the most comprehensive digital geological maps and documents describing the resources of Mongolia, along with satellite images, transportation, hydrology, etc. Be aware that even though the resources are there in abundance that doing business in Mongolia is not for the faint-of-heart, is, indeed quite risky. For further information about my study, contact Lindsey V. Maness, Jr., Geologist, at LVManess@Comcast.net.
Comment by SA on 2009-11-24
what is most annoying about these miners are: 1. they think world is still innocent (like 20 yrs ago) where their tricked & bribed all these poor people in Africa & South America and got rich.
2. they want to dig our gold yet zero investment into community.
3. Just because Mongolians are nice kind people it does not mean we are stupid thus we will fall into their traps.
Comment by RICHARD BARNDON on 2009-12-31
Thank you....a good story.
Its hard to find factual reports about anything these days.
What is the size of Mongolia?

Interested reader.
N R BARNDON
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